自然短命素对气候产生间接的冷却作用
Alfonso Saiz-Lopez1, Rafael P Fernandez2,3, Qinyi Li2,4
1Department of Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate, Institute of Physical Chemistry Rocasolano, CSIC, Madrid, Spain. a.saiz@csic.es.
Nature
|June 28, 2023
概括
海洋中的短寿命素会导致大气的显著降温. 这种冷却效应由人类活动放大, 自工业化前时代以来, 增加并影响地球的辐射平衡.
科学领域:
- 大气化学
- 气候科学
- 辐射强迫
背景情况:
- 海洋中短寿命素在全球大气中存在.
- 自工业前时代以来,自然素排放因人为活动而扩大.
- 人类产生的短寿命环氧碳也被释放到大气中.
研究的目的:
- 测量短寿命素对地球辐射平衡的影响.
- 评估这种辐射效应的历史变化和未来预测.
主要方法:
- 使用观测证据和大气模型来确定辐射干扰.
- 计算了素,臭氧,甲,气溶和平流层水蒸气的间接辐射效应.
主要成果:
- 短寿命素具有相当大的间接冷却效应,每平方米为0.13±0.03瓦.
- 这种降温部分由甲,气溶和平流层水蒸气的升温抵消.
- 自1750年以来冷却效应增加了61%,这是由于自然素排放的人为放大.
结论:
- 短寿命素的间接辐射效应是显著的,并且在历史上有所增加.
- 这种影响的未来变化取决于气候预测和社会经济发展.
- 将这种效应纳入气候模型对于地球气候系统的现实基线至关重要.
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