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相关概念视频

Uncertainty: Overview00:59

Uncertainty: Overview

604
In analytical chemistry, we often perform repetitive measurements to detect and minimize inaccuracies caused by both determinate and indeterminate errors. Despite the cares we take, the presence of random errors means that repeated measurements almost never have exactly the same magnitude. The collective difference between these measurements - observed values - and the estimated or expected value is called uncertainty. Uncertainty is conventionally written after the estimated or expected value.
604
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals00:54

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

4.1K
The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
4.1K
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error00:59

Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error

738
An experiment often consists of more than a single step. In this case, measurements at each step give rise to uncertainty. Because the measurements occur in successive steps, the uncertainty in one step necessarily contributes to that in the subsequent step. As we perform statistical analysis on these types of experiments, we must learn to account for the propagation of uncertainty from one step to the next. The propagation of uncertainty depends on the type of arithmetic operation performed on...
738
Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error01:10

Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error

559
The atomic mass of an element varies due to the relative ratio of its isotopes. A sample's relative proportion of oxygen isotopes influences its average atomic mass. For instance, if we were to measure the atomic mass of oxygen from a sample, the mass would be a weighted average of the isotopic masses of oxygen in that sample. Since a single sample is not likely to perfectly reflect the true atomic mass of oxygen for all the molecules of oxygen on Earth, the mass we obtain from this...
559
Depth Perception and Spatial Vision01:15

Depth Perception and Spatial Vision

745
Depth perception is the ability to perceive objects three-dimensionally. It relies on two types of cues: binocular and monocular. Binocular cues depend on the combination of images from both eyes and how the eyes work together. Since the eyes are in slightly different positions, each eye captures a slightly different image. This disparity between images, known as binocular disparity, helps the brain interpret depth. When the brain compares these images, it determines the distance to an object.
745
Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision03:37

Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision

74.0K
Scientists typically make repeated measurements of a quantity to ensure the quality of their findings and to evaluate both the precision and the accuracy of their results. Measurements are said to be precise if they yield very similar results when repeated in the same manner. A measurement is considered accurate if it yields a result that is very close to the true or the accepted value. Precise values agree with each other; accurate values agree with a true value. 
74.0K

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相关实验视频

Updated: Jul 25, 2025

Assessing Pupil-linked Changes in Locus Coeruleus-mediated Arousal Elicited by Trigeminal Stimulation
07:26

Assessing Pupil-linked Changes in Locus Coeruleus-mediated Arousal Elicited by Trigeminal Stimulation

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瞳孔大小编码在探索期间的不确定性.

Haoxue Fan1, Taylor Burke1, Deshawn Chatman Sambrano1

  • 1Harvard University, Cambridge, MA.

Journal of cognitive neuroscience
|June 29, 2023
PubMed
概括

瞳孔大小反映了决策过程中的不确定性,指导探索策略. 这项研究将瞳孔相关的兴奋与人们如何探索最大化奖励的选择联系起来.

科学领域:

  • 认知神经科学 认知神经科学
  • 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学

背景情况:

  • 探索对于决策和长期奖励最大化至关重要.
  • 以前的研究表明,不确定性会影响勘探策略.

研究的目的:

  • 研究与瞳孔相关的兴奋系统在不确定性导向探索中的作用.
  • 检查瞳孔扩张如何与不同的探索策略有关.

主要方法:

  • 测量了48名参与者在双臂强盗任务期间的瞳孔膨胀.
  • 在相对不确定性,总不确定性和价值差异方面分析了勘探策略.

主要成果:

  • 观察到一种对各种不确定性指标敏感的混合勘探战略.
  • 在瞳孔大小和总不确定性之间发现了正相关性.
  • 证明学生衍生不确定性估计可以改善选择预测.

结论:

  • 瞳孔大小编码用于探索决策的不确定性估计.
  • 这一结果支持了基位 - 北上腺素系统在以不确定性为导向的探索中的作用.

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