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21世纪丹麦孤独患病率的变化:年龄-时期-队列分析
Clara Girault1, Stine Schramm1, Janne S Tolstrup1
1National Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Scandinavian journal of public health
|June 30, 2023
概括
在丹麦,孤独的流行在2000年至2021年间显著增加,特别是在年轻人中. 这一增长是由时期和年龄因素驱动的,而不是出生队列,COVID-19可能会影响2021年的数据.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 孤独是一个日益严重的公共卫生问题,对个人和社会产生重大影响.
- 了解孤独的趋势对于开发有针对性的干预措施至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2000年至2021年丹麦孤独患病率的变化.
- 研究年龄,时期和队列对孤独趋势的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了2000年至2021年的丹麦健康和发病率调查 (N=83,437,年龄≥16岁) 的数据.
- 采用后勤回归模型来估计对孤独的年龄-时期-队列影响,根据性别进行调整.
主要成果:
- 成人孤独率从2000年的13.2% (男性) 和18.8% (女性) 增加到2021年的27.4% (男性) 和33.7% (女性).
- 在各个年龄组中观察到U形的流行曲线,在女性中最为明显.
- 最年轻的年龄组 (16-24岁) 显示了孤独的最大增加.
结论:
- 孤独感的增加主要归因于时期和年龄的影响,而不是队列效应.
- 2021年COVID-19大流行的影响可能导致了当年孤独率急剧上升.
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