基于经验的决策的未来:将现实世界的决策问题与认知过程联系起来
Sebastian Olschewski1,2, Ashley Luckman2,3, Alice Mason4,5
1Department of Psychology, University of Basel.
概括
从经验中理解决策 (DfE) 需要将实验设计扩展到包括复杂的选择,延迟反和社交互动. 整合注意力和记忆等认知过程对于准确的DfE建模和现实世界的应用至关重要.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 经验决策 (DfE) 受金融,健康和环境管理等关键领域的过去结果的影响.
- 最近的研究在过去的二十年里大大提高了对DfE的理解.
- 标准的实验设计可能无法完全捕捉现实世界决策的复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 建议对标准实验设计进行扩展,以研究经验决策 (DfE).
- 倡导将认知过程纳入DfE研究.
- 提高DfE研究的生态有效性和适用性.
主要方法:
- 审查和综合现有关于从经验中做出决定的文献.
- 建议方法扩展,包括复杂的选择环境,延迟反和社交互动.
- 结合注意力,记忆和心理模型等认知机制的论点.
主要成果:
- 扩展的实验范式可以更好地接近现实世界的决策场景.
- 认知过程的明确整合提供了对DfE的更全面的理解.
- 推进行为,决策和认知科学理论整合的潜力.
结论:
- 未来的DfE研究应该采用更复杂和现实的实验环境.
- 了解潜在的认知过程是改善DfE模型的关键.
- 这些研究可以为更好的决策策略和政策干预提供信息.
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