现象异步对北美歌鸟的人口影响
Casey Youngflesh1,2, Graham A Montgomery1, James F Saracco3
1Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.
概括
气候变化正在造成生态异步. 当鸟类现象学与植物现象学不匹配时,鸟类繁殖生产率下降,影响种群.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
- 鸟类生态学 鸟类生态学
背景情况:
- 由于气候变化的现象变化在种类中广泛存在.
- 有关生态脱和负面的人口后果存在担忧,因为不同的现象速率.
- 将现象异步与人口影响联系起来的大规模证据是有限的.
研究的目的:
- 评估现象动态对北美鸟类繁殖生产力的影响.
- 研究繁殖现象学,植被现象学和种群成功之间的关系.
- 为了确定鸟类的繁殖现象学是否与植被的绿化保持同步.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自一个大陆范围的鸟类绑架计划的数据,涵盖了41种鸟类.
- 分析了与年度和相对现象学时间相关的繁殖生产率.
- 对比的鸟类繁殖现象学与植被绿化时间在18年内发生变化.
主要成果:
- 确定了一种现象学最佳;在极端的早期或晚期现象学下,繁殖生产率下降.
- 当鸟类现象学与当地植被现象学不匹配时,繁殖生产率下降.
- 在研究期间,陆鸟繁殖现象学落后于植被绿化.
- 迁徙距离较短或居留身份较短的物种显示出更密切的追踪绿化.
结论:
- 展示了现象学变化对人口影响的广泛证据.
- 鸟类繁殖现象学未能跟上气候变化带来的变化.
- 预计未来的气候变化将导致大多数鸟类的繁殖生产率下降,原因是现象学不匹配.
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