用于从NESS数据集中确定极端波高的技术
1Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta T2N 1N4.
概括
这项研究对估计北海重要波浪高度的极端值程序进行了基准测试. 它强调了这些技术在海洋学和工程学中的正确和不正确应用.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 极端价值理论 极端价值理论
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 北欧风暴研究 (NESS) 数据集为了解极端海洋状态提供了关键信息.
- 精确估计极端波浪高度对于海上工程和海上安全至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估和比较各种极端值程序,以估计在特定的北海网点的重要波高度.
- 为了对行业提交的关于其推导极端波高度的方法进行比较.
主要方法:
- 将各种极端价值分析技术应用于NESS数据.
- 对五个行业集团提交的材料进行比较分析,以估计高回报期的重要波高.
- 基准测试方法与已确立的统计原则相比.
主要成果:
- 识别了不同极端价值程序的准确性和可靠性的变化.
- 突出了将极端价值分析应用于海洋数据的常见陷和最佳实践.
- 证明了方法选择对极端波浪高度估计的影响.
结论:
- 极端价值技术需要仔细应用,以避免在工程和海洋学中滥用.
- 该研究提供了当前极端价值分析方法的实际实用性和局限性的见解.
- 为改善在海上和离岸环境中极端价值理论的应用提出了建议.
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