全球木材采伐的碳成本
Liqing Peng1, Timothy D Searchinger2,3, Jessica Zionts4
1World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, USA. liqing.peng@wri.org.
Nature
|July 5, 2023
概括
新的模型估计每年3.5至4.2亿二氧化碳的成本. 降低这些成本是一个被低估的减缓气候变化战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 森林管理
- 气候科学
背景情况:
- 木材采伐是人类减少植被和土壤碳储存的主要活动.
- 目前对木材使用的碳核算往往低估了碳排放量,
- 不准确的会计方法掩盖了木材采伐对气候的影响.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个新的模型来估计全球木材采伐的当前和未来碳成本.
- 通过使用时间折扣分析不同未来情景下的碳成本.
- 突出减少木材采伐对气候变化减缓的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发一种包含时间折扣的新型碳成本估计模型.
- 2010年至2050年全球森林采伐数据的分析.
- 基于场景的年度碳成本预测.
主要成果:
- 在2010年至2050年间,森林采伐的年化碳成本估计在3.5-4.2 Gt CO2e/年之间.
- 这些成本与农业用地变化的年度排放相当.
- 这项研究揭示了木材采伐对气候的影响,
结论:
- 森林砍伐造成大量持续的碳成本,
- 减少木材采伐对减缓气候变化带来的影响是一个被低估的重要机会.
- 精确的碳核算,包括时间折扣,对于了解森林砍伐的影响至关重要.
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