结合SWAT和DPSIR模型,用于地中海水域的地下水管理
Maria Margarita Ntona1, Gianluigi Busico2, Micòl Mastrocicco2
1Campania University "Luigi Vanvitelli", Department of Environmental, Biological and Pharmaceutical Sciences and Technologies, Via Vivaldi 43, 81100, Caserta, Italy; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Department of Geology, Laboratory of Engineering Geology & Hydrogeology, 54124, Thessaloniki, Greece.
Journal of environmental management
|July 6, 2023
概括
用土壤和水评估工具 (SWAT) 模型量化地下水补充量. 未来的预测显示排水变化有限,但数据稀缺导致地下水管理的不确定性.
科学领域:
- 水文学的水文学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 地下水是人类和环境福祉的重要资源.
- 有效地管理地下储存对于满足水需求至关重要.
- 解决水资源短缺问题需要多功能解决方案和了解充电动态.
研究的目的:
- 用SWAT模型空间时间量化地下水充电.
- 为了比较意大利和希腊水文盆地的充电动态.
- 在气候变化场景下评估未来的水文条件.
主要方法:
- 土壤和水资源评估工具 (SWAT) 模型的应用.
- 使用代表性度路径 (RCP) 4.5 进行未来预测 (2022-2040).
- 采用驱动力-压力-状态-影响-反应 (DPSIR) 框架进行综合分析.
主要成果:
- 在上伏尔图诺-卡洛雷盆地 (2020-2040年) 预计不会有显著的流水变化.
- 潜在的蒸发透气率在50.1%至74.3%之间,透率约为5%.
- 有限的初级数据被确定为关键压力,增加预测不确定性.
结论:
- SWAT模型为地下水充电动态提供了有价值的见解.
- 未来的水文条件显示,研究的意大利流域的下水相对稳定.
- 数据限制对准确的长期地下水资源评估和管理构成重大挑战.
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