时空演变以及全球预期寿命的特征
Yaxing Li1,2, Xiaoming Li1,3, Weixi Wang1,3
1Research Institute for Smart Cities, School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518060, China.
概括
全球预期寿命显示复杂的空间和时间模式,女性比男性更快地进步. 对教育的投资影响了这些长期趋势,指导了全球卫生战略.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 了解全球预期寿命的演变对于解决区域健康差异至关重要.
- 对全球长期预期寿命模式的系统检查仍然有限.
研究的目的:
- 研究从1990年到2019年全球预期寿命的空间差异和时间模式.
- 分析了181个国家的预期寿命的时空演变.
- 确定影响预期寿命差异的因素.
主要方法:
- 地理信息系统 (GIS) 分析以检查空间差异.
- 空间关联局部指标 (LISA) 揭示聚合特征.
- 基于空间时间序列的核密度估计和Theil指数用于区域比较.
主要成果:
- 在过去的30年里,全球预期寿命的增长呈现出"上升然后下降"的趋势.
- 女性的预期寿命进展率高于男性,变化较小,空间聚合更广泛.
- 观察到预期寿命的全球空间和时间自相关性减弱.
- 预期寿命的差异归因于生物学,环境,生活方式因素和教育投资.
结论:
- 预期寿命趋势在不同地区和性别之间有很大差异.
- 教育投资似乎会随着时间的推移扩大预期寿命差距.
- 这些发现为优化全球健康结果和减少差异提供了科学指导.
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