经济发展和旅游业是否对生态可持续性产生异质影响? 对可持续发展的影响
Munir Ahmad1,2, Gul Jabeen3
1College of International Economics & Trade, Ningbo University of Finance and Economics, Ningbo, 315175, Zhejiang, China.
概括
国际旅游业和旅游业以及经济发展显示出与中国的生态恶化有着反向的U形联系. 虽然旅游业可以减轻环境损害,但其影响在各省和各发展水平上有很大差异.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态经济学生态经济学
- 区域经济学 区域经济学
背景情况:
- 经济发展产生的人为排放挑战了生态可持续性.
- 国际旅游和旅游为跨发展层面的生态系统可持续性提供了潜力.
- 了解这些动态在中国的不同省级单位至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究国际旅游和旅游以及经济发展对生态恶化的多样化影响.
- 分析城市聚集和能源利用效率在这种关系中的作用.
- 为了检查这些影响在中国的各个省级单位,不同的发展水平.
主要方法:
- 通过对人口,富裕和技术 (STIRPAT) 模型的回归来对环境影响进行修改的随机估计.
- 开发一个国际旅游和旅游部门指数 (ITTI).
- 应用持续更新的偏差校正策略 (CUBCS) 和持续更新的完全修改策略 (CUFMS) 进行长期估计.
- 利用基于引导的因果关系技术来确定因果关系方向.
主要成果:
- 在聚合面板中,ITTI,经济发展和生态恶化之间发现了一个反向的U型关联.
- ITTI在11个省份缓解了生态恶化,在14个省份促进了生态恶化;经济发展仅在4个省份遵循环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 理论.
- 区域差异很大:在中国的东部,中部和西部地区,ITTI的影响各不相同,经济发展,城市聚集和能源使用效率带来的混合影响.
结论:
- 国际旅游和旅游业对生态恶化的影响是复杂的,在中国各省份都取决于环境.
- 经济发展并不总是遵循EKC理论,这表明了不同的环境结果.
- 从这些经验发现得出政策建议,以管理考虑到旅游业和发展水平的生态可持续性.
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