对于一个简单的步骤应力模型的E-贝叶斯式和H-贝叶斯式推理与在渐进式II型审查下竞争的故障模型
Ying Wang1,2, Zaizai Yan1, Yan Chen3
1College of Science, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|July 8, 2023
概括
本研究分析了一种步骤压力加速的竞争性失败模型,在逐步审查下具有竞争性风险. 预期的贝叶斯估计和层次贝叶斯估计显示了参数估计和错误减少的优越性能.
科学领域:
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 统计推理 统计推理
- 加快生命测试加速生命测试
背景情况:
- 竞争的故障模式在现实世界系统中很常见.
- 渐进式II型审查是一种高效的数据收集方法.
- 步骤应力测试用于加速故障和研究产品可靠性.
研究的目的:
- 为了统计分析一个步骤压力加速竞争失败模型.
- 导出和比较各种参数估计方法.
- 为了评估不同估计技术的性能.
主要方法:
- 使用了一个简单的步骤应力加速竞争故障模型.
- 在压力下单位寿命的假设指数分布.
- 采用累积风险模型来链接压力水平.
- 导出最大概率,贝叶斯式,预期贝叶斯式和层次贝叶斯式估计.
- 进行蒙特卡罗模拟进行分析.
主要成果:
- 使用最大概率,贝叶斯式,预期贝叶斯式和层次贝叶斯式方法推导参数估计.
- 使用平均长度和覆盖概率评估的置信区间和可信区间.
- 证明了预期贝叶斯式和层次贝叶斯式估计的优越性能.
- 数字研究证实了这些方法的更好的平均估计和平均平方误差.
结论:
- 预期贝叶斯式和层次贝叶斯式方法为这个模型提供了参数估计的更高的准确性和效率.
- 该研究为加快生命测试中的统计推断提供了一个强大的框架,具有竞争风险.
- 通过数值示例来说明实际应用.
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