采样频率对使用连续时间模型估计的AR过程动态的影响
Rohit Batra1, Simran K Johal1, Meng Chen1
1Department of Psychology, University of California, Davis.
Psychological methods
|July 10, 2023
概括
连续时间自回归 (CT-AR) 模型有效地恢复潜在的心理动态,当数据采样比生成过程更快时. 较慢的采样需要更强大的效应来准确的恢复,强调频繁的数据收集的重要性.
科学领域:
- 心理建模 心理建模
- 纵向数据分析的数据分析.
- 统计方法 统计方法
背景情况:
- 连续时间 (CT) 模型为分析纵向心理数据提供了灵活的框架.
- CT模型允许单个底层连续函数假设,克服离散时间 (DT) 模型的局限性.
- CT模型通过将参数重新调整到共同的时间尺度来促进跨间隔比较 (例如,每日,每周,每月).
研究的目的:
- 评估连续时间自回归 (CT-AR) 模型在恢复真实过程动态中的准确性.
- 调查不同采样间隔对CT-AR模型参数恢复的影响.
- 评估自回归 (AR) 参数的不同强度如何影响不同采样频率的模型恢复.
主要方法:
- 使用蒙特卡洛模拟来测试CT-AR模型的性能.
- 模拟了两个生成时间间隔 (每日和每周),具有不同的AR参数强度.
- 模型的恢复被评估在三个采样间隔:每日,每周和每月.
主要成果:
- 在比生成过程更快的间隔采样通常允许准确恢复AR效应.
- 当采样速度比生成过程慢时,更强的潜在AR效应是满足参数恢复的必要条件.
- 采样频率不足导致偏差估计和真实参数覆盖率低.
结论:
- 对于可靠的CT-AR模型估计,建议采用频繁的数据采样,理想情况下比基础过程动态更快.
- 研究人员应将抽样间隔与研究中的心理构造的理论知识保持一致.
- CT-AR模型准确地表示纵向数据的能力取决于适当的采样频率.
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