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通过城市网络建模预测车辆轨迹
Xinyan Qin1, Zhiheng Li1, Kai Zhang1,2
1Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen 518055, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|July 11, 2023
概括
预测出租车的目的地对于高效的运输至关重要. 本研究介绍了一个编码城市拓的时空注意网络 (UTA),有效地集成空间和时间数据,以改进出租车轨迹预测.
科学领域:
- 人工智能的人工智能
- 运输科学 运输科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 空的出租车在城市交通系统中意味着大量的浪费资源.
- 当前的轨迹预测方法往往忽略了关键的空间信息,导致效率低下.
- 缓解供需失衡和交通拥堵需要准确的实时出租车轨迹预测.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种用于准确预测出租车目的地的新型模型.
- 为了解决现有方法的局限性,以捕捉出租车轨迹中的空间依赖.
- 提高城市出租车服务的效率和资源利用率.
主要方法:
- 通过分离交通单元和整合道路网络节点,构建城市拓网络.
- 通过将GPS记录与城市拓地图相匹配,开发拓轨迹.
- 整合周围的语义信息以捕捉空间依赖.
- 关于拓图形神经网络的建议,用于时空注意力计算.
主要成果:
- 拟议的城市拓地图显著提高了轨迹的一致性和终点确定性.
- 城市拓编码的时空注意网络 (UTA) 模型显示了更好的预测准确性.
- 与HMM,RNN,LSTM和变压器等传统模型相比,UTA模型显示了对数据稀疏性的弹性.
- 与拟议的城市模型集成的经典模型显示了~2%的性能增长.
结论:
- 通过整合拓编码和时空注意力,UTA模型有效地解决了出租车目的地预测的挑战.
- 拟议的城市拓网络框架增强了出租车轨迹的建模.
- 这种方法为优化出租车服务和减少城市拥堵提供了一个有希望的解决方案.
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