大气循环和蒸发的变化正在减少巴西塞拉多地区的降雨量
G S Hofmann1,2, R C Silva3, E J Weber4,5
1Programa de Pós-Graduação em Geografia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil. hofmann.gabriel@gmail.com.
Scientific reports
|July 11, 2023
概括
从1960年到2021年,巴西塞拉多地区的降雨量和雨天显著减少,特别是在干旱季节. 这种与大气变化相关的趋势表明,干旱季节的加剧带来了广泛的影响.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 巴西塞拉多地区经历了独特的季节性降雨模式.
- 了解气候趋势对于区域环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析1960年至2021年巴西塞拉多地区的降雨和雨天趋势.
- 调查蒸发透气,大气压,风和湿度的相关趋势.
- 为了确定所观察到的气候变化背后的驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 分析了从1960年到2021年的降雨量和雨天频率数据.
- 评估主要气象变量 (蒸发,压力,风,湿度) 的趋势.
- 观察到的趋势与大气循环模式的相关性,特别是南大西洋亚热带反旋风.
主要成果:
- 北部和中部塞拉多地区的降雨量和雨天频率有显著的减少.
- 最明显的下降 (高达50%) 发生在干旱季和早期潮湿季.
- 趋势与南大西洋亚热带反旋风的强化和极向转移有关,导致沉降率增加.
- 在关键季节地区蒸发转化减少也导致降雨量减少.
结论:
- 这项研究表明,巴西塞拉多的干旱季节正在扩大和加剧.
- 这些变化是由大气循环模式的改变驱动的.
- 这些发现表明,潜在的环境和社会影响远远超出了塞拉多地区.
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