一代的转变:种族和终身监禁风险的下降
Jason P Robey1, Michael Massoglia2, Michael T Light2
1School of Criminal Justice, University at Albany (SUNY), Albany, NY, USA.
Demography
|July 12, 2023
概括
美国监禁率最近的下降表明,监禁率显著下降. 对于黑人男性来说,终身监禁的风险已经减半,预计被监禁的人数将比大学毕业生少.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 大规模监禁深刻影响了美国男性的生活轨迹.
- 最近持续下降的监禁要求检查当前代的影响.
研究的目的:
- 评估美国监狱释放的范围和影响.
- 分析终身监禁风险的变化以及年轻人的机构经验.
主要方法:
- 从1999年到2019年,美国所有州的监禁率分析.
- 生命表分析以估计不同出生队伍的终身监禁风险.
- 监禁率与年轻黑人大学毕业率的比较.
主要成果:
- 在全国范围内,黑人男性监禁率在1999年至2019年期间下降了44%.
- 在研究期间,黑人男性的终身监禁风险下降了近一半.
- 到2019年,年轻的黑人男性更有可能毕业于大学而不是被监禁,这是2009年的反转.
结论:
- 在最近几代人中,释放监狱已经显著减少了监狱在年轻成年人中所扮演的角色.
- 对黑人男性来说,终身监禁的风险大幅下降.
- 这些趋势表明,我们正在远离大规模监禁的高峰时代.
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