大豆贸易目的地与热带森林砍伐之间存在复杂的关系
Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva1,2, Emilio F Moran3, James D A Millington4
1Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, 48823, USA. rbicudo@unicamp.br.
Scientific reports
|July 12, 2023
概括
大豆贸易目的地影响森林砍伐. 与牛和牧场扩张相关的国内大豆生产更多的市政当局显示,巴西马托格罗索州 (Mato Grosso) 的森林覆盖面损失更高.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 空间建模 空间建模
背景情况:
- 全球商品流动显著影响人类与自然系统的结合.
- 与农业贸易相关的环境变化尚未得到充分理解.
- 大豆生产是巴西土地利用变化的主要驱动力.
研究的目的:
- 评估大豆贸易目的地如何影响巴西马托格罗索州森林覆盖面的变化.
- 确定与森林砍伐相关的特定贸易模式.
- 为可持续的土地管理和森林砍伐风险降低政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 实证空间建模方法. 实证空间建模方法.
- 对马托格罗索市 (2004-2017年) 的大豆生产和贸易目的地数据的分析.
- 森林覆盖变化,大豆生产和牛/牧场扩张之间的相关性分析.
主要成果:
- 60%的马托格罗索大豆在国际上出口.
- 国内大豆产量较高的市政当局与森林砍伐的关联较强.
- 国内大豆生产与牛和牧场扩张有显著的相关性.
结论:
- 大豆贸易目的地是森林砍伐动态的一个关键因素.
- 针对国内大豆市场的政策可能对缓解森林砍伐至关重要.
- 了解当地贸易模式对于有效的环境管理至关重要.
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