儿童糖甜饮料消费:一个基于代理的模型,用于环境特定的减少努力
Matt Kasman1, Ross A Hammond2, Lydia Reader3
1Center on Social Dynamics and Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington, District of Columbia.
在儿童中减少含糖饮料的消费是具有挑战性的. 针对家庭可用性的干预措施显示,在各种人群中减少消费的最大潜力.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 计算流行病学计算流行病学
- 儿童营养 儿童营养
背景情况:
- 儿童糖甜饮料 (SSB) 消费仍然很高,尽管公共卫生建议减少.
- 在不同的人群中,需要有效的策略来减少幼儿时期的SSB摄入量.
研究的目的:
- 应用基于代理的模型 (ABM) 来模拟各种干预策略对儿童SSB消费的影响.
- 确定特定于环境的有效干预措施,以减少幼儿时期的SSB摄入量.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个基于代理的模型,并应用于来自儿童的三个不同的纵向队列研究的数据.
- 该模型复制观察到的SSB消费模式的能力被评估为跨队列.
- 运行模拟来评估多种干预策略对SSB消费的潜在影响.
主要成果:
- 专注于减少家庭SSB可用性的干预措施始终显示出对消费的最大潜在影响.
- 减少的规模因队列设置而异,估计家庭可用性减少在54%至87%之间.
- 减少儿童保育机构的SSB可用性也显示了跨队伍的差异性影响.
结论:
- 针对家庭可用性SSB的战略为减少儿童消费提供了显著的潜力.
- 基于代理的模型是设计特定背景干预措施以减少儿童SSB摄入量的有价值的工具.
- 针对特定环境调整干预措施可能会提高它们的有效性.
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