石油和天然气租金与中东北非地区的二氧化碳排放联系:空间分析
Haider Mahmood1, Najia Saqib2, Anass Hamadelneel Adow3
1Department of Finance, College of Business Administration, Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University, Alkharj, Saudi Arabia.
PeerJ
|July 17, 2023
概括
石油租金在中东和北非国家显著增加了二氧化碳排放,尽管由于空间溢出效应造成了负面的本地影响. 大多数国家都处于环境库兹涅茨曲线的第一阶段,突出显示经济增长带来的生态问题.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 地区研究 地区研究
背景情况:
- 石油租金和天然气租金是MENA经济体的主要收入来源,可能会增加二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放.
- 在中东和北非地区地理上相邻的经济体表明,二氧化碳排放的空间自相关性.
- 该研究调查了石油租金和天然气租金对二氧化碳排放的影响,考虑了空间尺寸和环境库兹内茨曲线 (EKC).
研究的目的:
- 检查石油租金和天然气租金对中东和北非国家二氧化碳排放的空间影响.
- 分析该地区二氧化碳排放的环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC).
- 为减轻负面环境影响提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 应用空间德宾模型来分析17个中东和北非国家的二氧化碳排放量 (2000-2019).
- 包括石油租金,天然气租金和经济增长作为解释变量.
- 利用诊断测试来获得强大的空间规范和可靠的结果.
主要成果:
- 二氧化碳排放具有显著的空间溢出效应,影响邻国.
- 证实了EKC,转折点为38,698美元 (2015年恒定美元);以色列和卡塔尔处于第二阶段,而15个国家处于第一阶段.
- 由于积极的间接影响,石油租金对排放产生净积极影响 (每增加1%的租金增加0.3211%),而天然气租金的影响是微不足道的. 当地的石油租金效应是负的 (-0.2117弹性).
结论:
- 大多数MENA经济体的经济扩张与环境退化有关.
- 中东和北非国家应该减少对石油租金的依赖,以减轻不利的环境影响.
- 空间维度对于了解和管理中东北非地区的二氧化碳排放至关重要.
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