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相关概念视频

The Anchoring-and-Adjustment Heuristic01:25

The Anchoring-and-Adjustment Heuristic

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In order to make good decisions, we use our knowledge and our reasoning. Often, this knowledge and reasoning is sound and solid. However, sometimes, we are swayed by biases or by others manipulating a situation. For example, let’s say you and three friends wanted to rent a house and had a combined target budget of $1,600. The realtor shows you only very run-down houses for $1,600 and then shows you a very nice house for $2,000. Might you ask each person to pay more in rent to get the...
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Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision03:37

Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision

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Scientists typically make repeated measurements of a quantity to ensure the quality of their findings and to evaluate both the precision and the accuracy of their results. Measurements are said to be precise if they yield very similar results when repeated in the same manner. A measurement is considered accurate if it yields a result that is very close to the true or the accepted value. Precise values agree with each other; accurate values agree with a true value. 
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Systematic Error: Methodological and Sampling Errors01:15

Systematic Error: Methodological and Sampling Errors

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In the case of systematic errors, the sources can be identified, and the errors can be subsequently minimized by addressing these sources. According to the source, systematic errors can be divided into sampling, instrumental, methodological, and personal errors.
Sampling errors originate from improper sampling methods or the wrong sample population. These errors can be minimized by refining the sampling strategy. Defective instruments or faulty calibrations are the sources of instrumental...
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Random and Systematic Errors01:20

Random and Systematic Errors

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Scientists always try their best to record measurements with the utmost accuracy and precision. However, sometimes errors do occur. These errors can be random or systematic. Random errors are observed due to the inconsistency or fluctuation in the measurement process, or variations in the quantity itself that is being measured. Such errors fluctuate from being greater than or less than the true value in repeated measurements. Consider a scientist measuring the length of an earthworm using a...
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Types of Errors: Detection and Minimization01:12

Types of Errors: Detection and Minimization

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Error is the deviation of the obtained result from the true, expected value or the estimated central value. Errors are expressed in absolute or relative terms.
Absolute error in a measurement is the numerical difference from the true or central value. Relative error is the ratio between absolute error and the true or central value, expressed as a percentage.
Errors can be classified by source, magnitude, and sign. There are three types of errors: systematic, random, and gross.
Systematic or...
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Accuracy and Errors in Hypothesis Testing01:13

Accuracy and Errors in Hypothesis Testing

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Hypothesis testing is a fundamental statistical tool that begins with the assumption that the null hypothesis H0 is true. During this process, two types of errors can occur: Type I and Type II. A Type I error refers to the incorrect rejection of a true null hypothesis, while a Type II error involves the failure to reject a false null hypothesis.
In hypothesis testing, the probability of making a Type I error, denoted as α, is commonly set at 0.05. This significance level indicates a 5%...
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相关实验视频

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Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
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纠正,不确定性和定效应.

Chang-Yuan Lee1, Carey K Morewedge2

  • 1Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada changyuan.lee@utoronto.ca.

The Behavioral and brain sciences
|July 18, 2023
PubMed
概括

德·尼斯 (De Neys) 是一个著名的艺术家.

科学领域:

  • 认知心理学 认知心理学
  • 判断和决策的过程

背景情况:

  • 双过程理论提出了不同的认知系统 (系统1和系统2).
  • 德尼斯提出的系统1和系统2是非排他性的,而认识体系的不确定性推动了系统2的参与.

研究的目的:

  • 评估德尼斯的双流程理论建议与经验发现对比.
  • 研究定效应和心理物理噪声在认知判断中的作用.

主要方法:

  • 审查关于定效应的现有文献.
  • 分析心理物理噪音与定现象之间的关系.

主要成果:

  • 来自定和调整启发式的证据支持系统1和系统2的非排他性.
  • 心理物理噪声对定效应的影响与认识体系的不确定性仅仅决定了系统2参与的概念相矛盾.

结论:

  • 这些发现部分支持De Neys关于认知系统相互作用的建议.
  • 不确定性在启动纠正性认知过程中的作用需要进一步研究,考虑到超出认识体系不确定性的因素.

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