数据可用性和人口影响之间的不匹配对保护的影响
Alex Nicol-Harper1,2, C Patrick Doncaster3, Geoff M Hilton2
1Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre University of Southampton Southampton UK.
Ecology and evolution
|July 21, 2023
概括
保护工作应优先考虑对具有最大人口影响的生命率的数据,例如普通鱼 (Somateria mollissima) 的繁殖倾向,而不仅仅是那些研究丰富的数据.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 人口动态 人口动态
背景情况:
- 有效的保护需要优先考虑有限的资源,以获得最能减轻生物多样性下降的数据.
- 了解不同生命周期过渡的人口影响对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
- 一些关键速率很难记录,在没有足够的实证数据的情况下做出风险决策,关于时空变化的空间变化.
研究的目的:
- 调查关于生命阶段过渡的研究数量是否与其对人口增长率 (λ) 的人口影响相关.
- 通过对生命率的元分析,对普通 (Somateria mollissima) 的矩阵种群模型进行参数化.
- 为了确定数据可用性和人口统计学对保护的重要性之间的潜在不匹配.
主要方法:
- 进行了对常见海 (Somateria mollissima) 的生命速率的元分析.
- 开发了一个矩阵种群模型,包含基于间歇性繁殖数据的离散,可逆的"非繁殖者"阶段.
- 计算总的矩阵元素弹性,以量化不同生命阶段过渡对人口增长率 (λ) 的影响.
主要成果:
- 繁殖和非繁殖状态之间的过渡 (繁殖倾向) 与生育 (弹性11%) 相比,对λ (24%弹性) 的影响是两倍的.
- 生育率在显著更多的研究中被记录 (n=103) 比繁殖倾向 (n=7),差异近15倍.
- 估计的繁殖倾向为0.72,过渡到非繁殖状态的概率为0.28.
结论:
- 生命阶段过渡的人口统计重要性与记录它们的研究数量之间存在显著的不匹配,使用常见的eider作为案例研究.
- 保护行动和研究投资应以人口影响为指导,而不仅仅是数据的可用性.
- 拟议的工作流可以帮助将数据需求与可用性保持一致,防止阻碍以证据为导向的保护和优化资源配置的断开.
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