气候变化和牧场强度对草原生产力的影响 - - 内蒙古,中国的案例研究
Xinya Guo1,2, Muhammad Umer Arshad3, Yuanfeng Zhao2
1Shandong University of Technology, School of Economics, Shandong, China.
Heliyon
|July 24, 2023
概括
由于气候变化和人类活动,草原的生产力下降了. 温度和降水的协同作用对草原的健康有重大影响,需要基于气候的风险管理策略.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 在过去的30年里,草原的生产率大幅下降.
- 气候变化和人类活动是这种下降的主要驱动因素.
- 了解这些影响对于有效的草原管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析降水,温度和放牧强度对草原生产力的影响.
- 研究这些影响在西向东梯度的区域异质性.
- 为草原风险管理策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自三个典型的草原草原站的38年的数据.
- 采用皮尔森相关性和固定效应模型进行分析.
- 评估了气候变量的协同效应.
主要成果:
- 降水对草原的生产力产生了积极而显著的影响.
- 气候变化的影响比人类活动更为显著,温度的影响比降水的影响更大.
- 降水和温度之间的协同作用比单个效应更具影响力.
- 在影响因素中观察到显著的区域异质性,从西方到东方增加.
结论:
- 气候变化,特别是温度和降水的协同作用,是影响草原生产率的主要因素.
- 有效的草原风险管理需要考虑区域差异和气候影响的协同作用.
- 需要进一步的研究来阐明气候,人类活动和草原生产力之间的复杂相互作用.
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