投票的动机是什么? 洪水对政治参与的影响
1Researcher, Faculty of Social Studies, Masaryk University, Czech Republic.
Disasters
|July 25, 2023
概括
经历一场洪水显著增加了政治参与. 然而,当选举日发生洪水时,投票率最高,特别是在受灾严重的地区,一次性事件是最具动员力的.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 灾害,如洪水,可以影响社会的各个方面,包括公民参与.
- 了解自然灾害与政治行为之间的关系对于应对灾害和制定政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查洪水灾害对政治参与的影响.
- 确定洪水事件影响选民投票率的条件.
主要方法:
- 利用了2010年洪水后斯洛伐克的选举结果和洪水声明.
- 建立了一个数据集来分析与选举相关的市政当局洪水事件的频率和时间.
主要成果:
- 经历一场洪水,在市政层面显著增加了政治参与.
- 当选举日发生洪水时,观察到投票率更高.
- 一次性,连续的极端天气事件比反复的洪水更有动员作用.
- 受严重影响的市镇的投票率显著增加.
结论:
- 洪水灾害的时间和严重程度是影响政治参与的关键因素.
- 灾难引起的政治行为的变化是微妙的,并取决于事件的特点.
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