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人才侦探之间的分歧:对改善青年足球人才评估的影响
Dennis Lüdin1, Lars Donath2, Michael Romann1
1Swiss Federal Institute of Sport Magglingen, Department of Elite Sport, Magglingen, Switzerland.
Journal of sports sciences
|July 25, 2023
概括
球探在排名年轻足球运动员方面表现出明显的分歧,主要依赖于一般印象而不是结构化的方法. 实施一致的人才识别和选择流程对于可靠的球员发展计划至关重要.
科学领域:
- 体育科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 人才识别和发展 人才识别和发展
- 足球分析 足球分析
背景情况:
- 可靠的才能识别和选择 (TID) 对于年轻运动员的发展至关重要.
- 球探协议在足球TID过程中并未得到充分理解.
- 目前的TID方法可能缺乏一致性,影响计划的有效性.
研究的目的:
- 为了评估球员排名的天赋球探之间的协议.
- 描述球探在人才评估中使用的基本方法.
- 确定导致在足球TID.中存在分歧的因素.
主要方法:
- 评估了83名人才侦探的四个小组内的协议.
- 童子军排名为11岁以下的男性青年足球运动员 (n=24).
- 分析了侦察员的决策过程和对结构化方法的依赖.
主要成果:
- 克里多夫的阿尔法估计显示,在所有小组的球探排名中存在显著的分歧.
- 童子军主要依赖总体印象,而不是结构化的评估方法.
- 对TID的不一致方法与选择决策中的分歧有关.
结论:
- 球探之间的分歧凸显了足球中需要更结构化的人才识别和选择过程的需要.
- 使用分解的子预测器开发标准化排名准则可以提高TID可靠性.
- 未来的研究应该专注于提高青年体育人才评估的一致性和有效性.
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