基于地方的政策对区域经济增长的影响:来自中国旧革命发展计划的准自然实验
Dan Pan1, Peiyao Zhou2, Fanbin Kong3,4
1School of Economics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, Jiangxi, China.
PloS one
|July 27, 2023
概括
中国的旧革命发展计划 (ORDP) 在目标未开发地区显著提振了4.0%的经济增长. 这种以地方为基础的政策通过政府干预,工业优化和基础设施改进来提高福利.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 区域发展 区域发展
- 公共政策 公共政策
背景情况:
- 经济增长对于发展中国家的福利和可持续发展至关重要.
- 基于地方的政策对经济增长的影响和机制仍在争论中.
- 中国的旧革命发展计划 (ORDP) 提供了一个独特的案例研究,是一个大规模的,有针对性的区域发展倡议.
研究的目的:
- 评估ORDP对中国经济增长的因果关系.
- 调查推动ORDP对经济增长的影响的潜在机制.
- 探索ORDP在不同地区和经济条件的影响的异质性.
主要方法:
- 利用一个时间变化的差异模型来进行强大的因果推理.
- 使用VIIRS/DNB夜间照明数据作为衡量经济增长的代理.
- 进行了机制和异质性分析,以了解政策细微差别.
主要成果:
- 据统计,ORDP表现出显著的积极影响,促进了经济增长4.0%.
- 关键机制包括加强政府干预,优化工业结构和改进信息基础设施.
- 该政策的有效性在中国中部城市和那些经济活动较高的城市更为明显.
结论:
- 机关和地方政策作为一个有效的基于地方的政策,以刺激发展中地区的经济增长.
- 通过针对性的政府举措,研究结果为区域经济发展的驱动因素提供了有价值的见解.
- 该研究为希望实施类似增长促进政策的发展中国家提供了可行的建议.
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