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一个基于代理的模型来模拟SARS-CoV-2在加工厂的表面和肉片的污染

Ngoc-Du Martin Luong¹, Laurent Guillier¹, Michel Federighi²

¹Risk Assessment Department, ANSES, Maisons-Alfort, France.

International journal of food microbiology

|July 27, 2023

概括

在食品加工工厂实施加强口罩佩戴和社会距离,大大减少了COVID-19的爆发和污染风险. 这些措施保护工人,并保持最佳的生产能力.

科学领域:

流行病学流行病学
职业健康职业健康职业健康
食品安全食品安全

背景情况:

食品加工厂的COVID-19疫情对工人,供应链和食品安全构成风险.
了解这些环境中的病毒传播动态对于有效的缓解策略至关重要.

研究的目的:

模拟各种控制措施对食品加工厂中SARS-CoV-2传播的影响.
评估干预措施在预防工人感染,表面污染和食品污染方面的有效性.

主要方法:

基于代理的建模被用来模拟病毒传播动态.
该模型包含了SARS-CoV-2特征,植物环境和社会人口统计因素的参数.
在各种干预场景下,对一个典型的肉类加工厂进行了模拟.

主要成果:

增加口罩佩戴显著降低了大型COVID-19集群 (超过25例感染) 的可能性.
全球面具使用限制了食品污染在0.05%以下,并维持了植物生产.
将工人距离增加到2米以上,将集群概率降低了高达15%,并减少了食品污染.

结论:

模拟结果强调了口罩强制和身体距离在减轻COVID-19在食品加工环境中的传播方面的有效性.
开发的建模方法可以成为农业食品行业风险评估和沟通的宝贵工具.
该方法可用于评估其他职业危险和环境.

关键词:

新冠病毒新冠病毒新冠病毒.职业环境职业环境预防措施预防措施病毒传播病毒传播.

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