基于西非国家儿童疾病的copula三元空间建模
Ezra Gayawan1, Osafu Augustine Egbon2, Oyelola Adegboye3
1Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria.
Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology
|July 27, 2023
概括
像急性呼吸道感染,腹和发烧这样的儿童疾病在西非很常见,并且经常一起发生. 社会经济因素和获得水的机会显著影响其流行,突出了针对性公共卫生干预的必要性.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 儿童健康 儿童健康
背景情况:
- 急性呼吸道感染 (ARI),腹和发烧是撒哈拉以南非洲普遍存在的儿童疾病.
- 了解这些常见疾病之间的相互作用对于有效的公共卫生战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查ARI,腹和发烧在5岁以下儿童的边际和双相关效应.
- 分析人口和社会经济因素对14个西非国家的这些疾病的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了全国代表性的横截面人口和健康调查数据.
- 采用皮回归模型来分析儿童发病率的相关影响.
- 在对152,125名儿童的分析中,包括人口和社会经济变量作为共变量.
主要成果:
- 患病率:急性肺炎 (6.9%),腹 (13.8%),发烧 (19.6%). 这种疾病的发病率较高. 在所有疾病对之间都发现了显著的正相关性.
- 水源和电力接入与疾病发生有关;电视,出生顺序和性别与腹/发烧有关;住所和报纸接入与发烧/ARI有关.
- 疾病的可能性在10个月左右达到顶峰,随后下降. 母亲的年龄与疾病发生可能性的降低有关.
结论:
- 儿童期ARI,腹和发烧在西非表现出相关的空间模式.
- 环境和社会经济因素在这些常见的儿童疾病的流行中发挥着重要作用.
- 生成的空间地图可以为针对性,区域特定的公共卫生政策提供信息,以缓解疾病.
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