中国的极端温度和传染性腹:可归因的风险和影响城市特征的修改
Haitao Wang1,2, Baofa Jiang1,2, Qi Zhao1,2
1Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
极端温度会增加感染性腹的风险. 像度和用水等城市因素改变了这种风险,特别是在中国北部,为公共卫生战略提供了信息.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 城市特征对极端温度对健康的影响的影响尚不清楚.
- 了解这些修改对于有针对性的公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化感染性腹的发病风险与极端的高温和低温有关.
- 调查城市特定指标如何改变这些健康风险.
主要方法:
- 利用分布式滞后非线性模型和多变量元回归.
- 分析了因温度极端而导致的传染性腹发病率的部分.
- 通过各种城市级特征探索了效果的修改.
主要成果:
- 极端的高温和低温分别与0.99%和1.05%的传染性腹病例有关.
- 可归因的分数在地理上有所不同,特别是在中国南部和北部之间.
- 增加的水消耗和度下降放大了极端寒冷的影响;更高的度和人均GDP增加了对极端高温的敏感性.
结论:
- 极端的温度显著增加了传染性腹的风险.
- 城市特征显然改变了温度极端和传染性腹之间的关联.
- 这些发现支持制定本地公共卫生战略,以减轻气候变化对健康的不利影响.
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