自然灾害通过改变社会结构,加剧并通过改变自由活动的来重新分配疾病风险
bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology
|July 28, 2023
概括
像风这样的极端天气事件可以通过增加社会行为来增加动物群体的疾病传播率. 这增加了流行病的风险,并影响了灾后多年的野生动物健康.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 动物行为 动物行为
背景情况:
- 气候变化正在增加极端天气事件,影响生态系统.
- 动物可以增加社会凝聚力,以应对灾难后的资源短缺.
- 这种增加的社交性可能会通过更密切的接触增加流行病风险.
研究的目的:
- 研究自然灾害如何通过动物社交的变化影响疾病风险.
- 量化风对 rhesus macaques 病原体传播率的影响.
主要方法:
- 疾病传播的模型是自由生活的 rhesus macaque (Macaca mulatta) 群体.
- 收集和分析了风事件发生前和5年后的数据.
- 评估了社会行为和病原体传播率的变化.
主要成果:
- 病原体传播率在风后的五年内翻了一番,相当于感染率增加了10%至20%.
- 风改变了感染风险分布,减少了先前存在的与地位相关的差异.
- 灾难后增加的社会凝聚力与增加的流行病风险有关.
结论:
- 自然灾害可以通过社会性变化加剧和同质化动物种群的流行病风险.
- 极端天气事件对野生动物健康和人口生存能力构成进一步威胁.
- 这些发现凸显了动物性传染病对人类的潜在风险.
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