动态分析和分数顺序非洲猪瘟模型的最佳控制与媒体报道
Ruiqing Shi1, Yihong Zhang1, Cuihong Wang1
1School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan 030031, China.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI
|July 29, 2023
概括
非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 是一种致命的猪病毒. 数学模型表明,迅速的媒体报道和消毒是控制ASF疫情的关键,因为目前还没有有效的治疗方法.
科学领域:
- 兽医流行病学 兽医流行病学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 疾病建模 疾病建模
背景情况:
- 非洲猪瘟 (ASF) 是一种高度传染性的病毒性疾病,影响着猪.
- ASF的发病速度很快,死亡率达到100%.
- 目前,没有有效的药物用于治疗ASF;预防和控制是至关重要的.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析ASF传播的分数顺序数学模型.
- 调查媒体报道对ASF传播的影响.
- 确定最佳的控制策略,以减轻ASF疫情的爆发.
主要方法:
- 为ASF构建两个分数顺序的数学模型.
- 使用下一代矩阵方法计算复制数.
- 应用Pontryagin的最大原则来获得最佳的控制解决方案.
- 执行数值模拟来验证理论发现.
主要成果:
- 具有媒体报道的基本模型确定了疾病传播的关键因素.
- 第二个模型包括控制措施,揭示了最佳干预策略.
- 定性分析和模拟证实了拟议的控制方法的有效性.
结论:
- 媒体报道和消毒对于防止ASF传播至关重要.
- 数学建模为疾病动态和控制提供了宝贵的见解.
- 综合控制策略对于管理非洲猪瘟疫情至关重要.
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