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气候变化带来的区域经济成本:上奥地利的跨学科影响评估
Sebastian Goers1, Rudolf Kapeller1, Friedrich Schneider1
1Energieinstitut at the Johannes Kepler Universität, Department of Energy Economics, Altenberger Straße 69, Linz, A-4040, Austria.
Journal of environmental management
|July 29, 2023
概括
上奥地利的气候变化将导致气温升高和降雨减少. 预计这将减少该地区的区域生产总值和就业,强调需要适应战略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与经济学
- 区域气候影响评估区域气候影响评估
背景情况:
- 上奥地利面临着预计的气候变化,包括到2050年气温上升和降雨减少.
- 了解这些变化对于区域经济和部门规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化上奥地利气候变化的直接部门和宏观经济影响.
- 为特定区域的气候变化适应战略提供基础.
主要方法:
- 利用跨学科的框架来推断气候变化.
- 使用气候变化指标,对林业,卫生,农业,供暖/制冷和旅游业的部门损害进行货币化.
- 采用前期模拟来量化2022-2050年的宏观经济影响.
主要成果:
- 上奥地利地区地区总产品预计每年下降.
- 预计区域就业数据每年下降.
- 确定了关键行业的重大经济漏洞.
结论:
- 气候变化对上奥地利构成重大经济风险.
- 针对特定区域的适应战略对于减轻负面影响至关重要.
- 这些发现对具有相似地理和经济特征的地区具有重要意义.
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