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调查印尼银行业货币政策,宏观审慎政策和信用风险之间的关系
Cep Jandi Anwar1, Indra Suhendra1, Eka Purwanda2
1Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa, Banten, 42118, Indonesia.
Heliyon
|July 31, 2023
概括
货币和宏观审慎政策在印尼显著影响信用风险.
科学领域:
- 金融经济学 金融经济学
- 银行法规 银行法规
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 不良贷款 (NPL) 是银行业信用风险的一个关键指标.
- 了解政策干预对不良贷款的影响对于金融稳定至关重要.
- 从2010年第一季度到2022年第四季度的印尼银行业数据提供了一个独特的数据集.
研究的目的:
- 分析货币和宏观审慎政策对印尼不良贷款的影响.
- 确定这些政策对信用风险的短期和长期影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了一个新的面板数据集,涵盖2010年第一季度至2022年第四季度.
- 采用Chow和Roy-Zellner测试来评估面板数据的一致性.
- 由于非同质性,应用了聚合平均组 (PMG) 估计器.
主要成果:
- 货币和宏观审慎政策都对信用风险产生重大影响.
- 严格的货币政策增加了长期信贷风险,而严格的宏观审慎政策减少了这一风险.
- 放宽货币政策降低了短期信贷风险.
结论:
- 有效的政策协调对于管理信用风险至关重要.
- 当局应实施有针对性的货币和宏观审慎战略,以降低NPL比率.
- 保持印度尼西亚银行业的金融稳定需要仔细的政策校准.
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