官方信息和谣言对资源流行病共同演变动态的影响
Liang'an Huo1, Ruifang Zhao1, Laijun Zhao1
1Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China.
概括
官方信息和资源分配有效地抑制了流行病的传播,而谣言则加速了它. 了解这种动态是管理像COVID-19这样的公共卫生危机的关键.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 信息科学 信息科学 信息科学
背景情况:
- 信息和资源动态显著影响了COVID-19流行病的传播.
- 不同的信息类型 (官方与谣言) 影响流行病动态和资源分配意识.
研究的目的:
- 模拟信息传播,资源分配和流行病传播的共同演变.
- 分析不同信息导向和资源利用对流行病值的影响.
主要方法:
- 构建了一个三层网络模型来表示动态交互.
- 微观马尔科夫链 (MMC) 理论被应用来分析共同进化过程.
- 疫情蔓延的门被数学推断出来.
主要成果:
- 官方信息强度被发现可以抑制流行病的传播.
- 据发现,谣言信息的强度促进了流行病的传播.
- 有效的资源利用被证明可以抑制感染的规模.
结论:
- 官方信息放大了资源对流行病的抑制作用.
- 谣言抵消了基于资源的抑制,可能加剧了传播.
- 信息,资源和流行病动态之间的相互作用对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
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