两国汉克和贸易摩擦
Yujie Yang1, Chenxing Zhang1, Wenwen Hou2
1Jinhe Center for Economic Research, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, China.
PloS one
|July 31, 2023
概括
本研究引入了两国异质代理新凯恩斯模型来分析贸易战. 它发现不对称的经济容易发生贸易战,高科技国家发起贸易战以尽量减少损失.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
- 宏观经济学 宏观经济学
背景情况:
- 现有的模型,如代表代理和小型开放经济异质代理,不能完全捕捉财富分配动态.
- 对外国非流动资产的相互投资创造了一个异质和内生道,影响经济.
- 了解财富分配和不平等在国际经济分析中至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个两国异质代理新凯恩斯主义模型.
- 分析贸易壁垒和贸易战对经济结构和财富分配的影响.
- 探索贸易战发生的条件及其对不同经济规模和生产率的国家的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发一种新的两国异质代理新凯恩斯主义模型.
- 在贸易战条件下对称和不对称的经济场景的模拟和分析.
- 检查技术和贸易绕道在减轻贸易摩擦造成的损失中的作用.
主要成果:
- 在对称经济体中,征收关税的发起人遭受的损失更大;同时征收关税损害了两国.
- 非对称经济体经历了由更大,更具生产力 (高科技) 的国家发起的贸易战,因为相关损失较低.
- 暗示贸易战主要发生在不对称的经济环境中.
- 技术进步和贸易绕道可以显著减少低技术国家的损失.
结论:
- 开发的模型强调了异质性和内源性投资道在理解国际经济冲突中的关键作用.
- 政策影响表明,技术改进是低技术国家减轻贸易战影响的关键战略.
- 贸易绕道提供了一种可行的替代策略,以减少贸易摩擦造成的经济损失.
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