预测参与意愿在一般人口健康和行为的生态瞬间评估:机器学习研究研究
Aja Murray1, Anastasia Ushakova2, Xinxin Zhu1
1Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Journal of medical Internet research
|August 2, 2023
概括
了解预测参与生态瞬间评估 (EMA) 的因素对于健康研究至关重要. 移民背景成为一个关键预测因素,尽管整体预测仍然很弱,这凸显了需要改进招聘策略的需要.
科学领域:
- 卫生研究方法论 卫生研究方法论
- 心理学科学 心理学科学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 生态瞬间评估 (EMA) 对于在健康研究中捕捉实时个体体验至关重要.
- 许多EMA研究使用非概率抽样,引发了人们对与个人特征相关的参与偏差的担忧.
- 确定EMA参与的预测因素对于评估潜在偏见和优化招聘至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查受访者特征与参与EMA研究的意愿之间的关系.
- 确定参与欧洲药物管理局十年到几分钟研究中最重要的预测因素.
- 根据个人属性评估EMA参与的可预测性.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自一般年轻成年人群的综合数据来为潜在的EMA参与者提供.
- 采用并比较了后勤回归,分类和回归树以及随机森林模型.
- 评估了受访者特征,以此预测他们是否愿意参与EMA的十年到几分钟研究.
主要成果:
- 未调整的后勤回归确定了性别,移民背景,焦虑,多动症症状,压力和亲社会性作为预测因素.
- 相互调整后勤回归和基于树的方法突出显示了移民背景,烟草使用和亲社会性作为重要的预测因素.
- 从受访者特征来看,EMA参与的整体可预测性很弱,模型性能 (AUC) 约为0.56-0.57.
结论:
- 移民背景似乎是增强EMA参与和样本代表性的最有前途的因素.
- 需要进一步的研究,以开发更有效的方法来预测和改善参与与健康有关的EMA研究.
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