股权和中国普通医师分配的趋势:基于2012年至2021年的十年数据
Ruxin Kou1, Kangni Mei1, Yuqing Bi1
1School of Public Health, Weifang Medical University, Weifang, 261021, Shandong, China.
Human resources for health
|August 2, 2023
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 卫生政策 卫生政策
背景情况:
- 在中国,全科医生对于医疗保健的准入至关重要.
- 2021年标志着中国GP系统成立10周年.
- 本研究分析了GP分配权益和2012-2021年的趋势.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国 (2012-2021) 的GP分配的股权和趋势.
- 总结长达十年的GP系统努力和进展.
- 预测未来的GP发展 (2022-2026) 对于健康规划.
主要方法:
- 在中国大陆利用了2012-2021年的数据.
- 使用吉尼系数,洛伦茨曲线和HRAD进行分配权益分析.
- 在GP数量预测 (2022-2026) 中应用了灰色预测模型.
主要成果:
- 到2021年,全科医生人数增加到434,868人 (每10,000人3.08人).
- 基于人口的基尼系数下降 (0.312至0.147);地理基尼仍然很高 (0.700-0.750).
- 东部地区显示GP集中;中部和西部地区面临稀缺.
结论:
- 实现了全科医生人数的显著增加,实现了最初的系统目标.
- 在GP分配 (地理维度) 中存在持续的区域差异.
- 预计未来的GP增长,可能在2026年之前实现2030年的目标.
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