国家储蓄对D-8国家的环境影响:使用ARDL模型的实证证据
Temitayo B Majekodunmi1, Mohd Shahidan Shaari1, Noorazeela Zainol Abidin1
1Faculty of Business & Communication, Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Arau, Perlis, 02600, Malaysia.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|August 3, 2023
概括
国家储蓄和汇款可以长期减少发展中国家-8 (D-8) 国家的环境退化. 然而,能源使用和人口增长增加了二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放,而经济增长没有显著的环境影响.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 经济增长传统上与储蓄有关,但对环境影响的研究不足.
- 发展中国家-8 (D-8) 面临着平衡经济发展和环境可持续性的独特挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查国家储蓄和汇款对D-8国家环境质量的长期和短期影响.
- 分析能源使用,人口增长和经济增长对这些国家的二氧化碳排放的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用面板自回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 建模用于跨越1989-2019年的数据.
- 采用时间序列分析来区分短期和长期影响.
主要成果:
- 长期发现表明,国家储蓄和汇款减轻了二氧化碳排放.
- 从长远来看,能源使用和人口增长显著增加了二氧化碳排放.
- 从长远来看,经济增长对环境质量没有显著影响;从短期来看,没有任何变量对二氧化碳有显著影响.
结论:
- 优先考虑提高国家储蓄对于改善D-8国家环境质量至关重要.
- 政策建议包括为政府储蓄进行财政整合,为企业储蓄提供投资激励,以及为家庭储蓄提供金融教育.
- 解决能源消耗和人口增长问题对于减轻排放至关重要.
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