到2050年实现净零碳排放 美国在能源建模论坛的情景 37 研究 37 研究
Morgan Browning1, James McFarland1, John Bistline2
1US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA.
概括
到2050年实现二氧化碳 (CO2) 净零排放,需要对电力部门进行深入的脱碳化和广泛的电气化. 虽然这些是至关重要的,但它们单独不足以实现净零目标.
科学领域:
- 能源政策和气候变化缓解.
- 经济建模和能源系统分析.
- 环境科学和技术评估.
背景情况:
- 能源建模论坛 (EMF) 37项研究解决了在本世纪中叶之前在北美实现全经济净零二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放的挑战.
- 分析涉及探索影响能源供需的各种技术,政策和行为场景.
- 16个建模团队贡献了排放,能源系统和经济活动预测.
研究的目的:
- 为了提供EMF 37研究的概述,详细介绍场景设计.
- 概述未来补充文件的路线图.
- 提供2050年美国净零二氧化碳方案的初步结果比较.
主要方法:
- 对16种不同的能源系统模型进行比较分析.
- 评估场景的重点是深度脱碳和高电气化路径.
- 评估能源使用,燃料组合的演变,技术采用和排放预测.
主要成果:
- 关于能源系统的关键趋势,在各种模型中存在广泛的共识,即电力的深度去碳化.
- 建筑物和运输中最终使用电气化的增加是一个一致的发现.
- 所有模型都需要负排放技术 (NETs) 与土地吸收器一起,以实现净零CO2.
结论:
- 深度电气化和电网脱碳是必不可少的,但不足以实现净零二氧化碳排放.
- 在最终使用部门之间存在不同的途径,需要进一步调查.
- 未来的研究应该解决这些不同的途径,以告知有效的净零策略.
相关概念视频
Carbon-dioxide Fixation
40
Carbon dioxide fixation in prokaryotes enables the assimilation of inorganic carbon into organic molecules, supporting biosynthetic pathways, sustaining ecosystems, and contributing to the global carbon cycle. It also has industrial applications in carbon capture and bioproduct synthesis. Autotrophic organisms rely on this process to utilize CO₂ as a carbon source in diverse environments.The Calvin CycleThe Calvin cycle is the most widespread carbon fixation mechanism, primarily used by...
40
The Carbon Cycle
38.5K
Carbon is the basis of all organic matter on Earth, and is recycled through the ecosystem in two primary processes: one in which carbon is exchanged among living organisms, and one in which carbon is cycled over long periods of time through fossilized organic remains, weathering of rocks, and volcanic activity. Human activities, including increased agricultural practices and the burning of fossil fuels, has greatly affected the balance of the natural carbon cycle.
38.5K
Energy Conservation and Bernoulli's Equation
9.0K
Applying the conservation of energy principle or the work-energy theorem to an incompressible, inviscid fluid in laminar, steady, irrotational flow leads to Bernoulli's equation. It states that the sum of the fluid pressure, potential, and kinetic energy per unit volume is constant along a streamline.
All the terms in the equation have the dimension of energy per unit volume. The kinetic energy per unit volume is called the kinetic energy density, and the potential energy per unit volume is...
All the terms in the equation have the dimension of energy per unit volume. The kinetic energy per unit volume is called the kinetic energy density, and the potential energy per unit volume is...
9.0K
Global Climate Change
24.5K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.5K
Heating and Cooling Curves
22.9K
When a substance—isolated from its environment—is subjected to heat changes, corresponding changes in temperature and phase of the substance is observed; this is graphically represented by heating and cooling curves.
For instance, the addition of heat raises the temperature of a solid; the amount of heat absorbed depends on the heat capacity of the solid (q = mcsolidΔT). According to thermochemistry, the relation between the amount of heat absorbed or released by a substance, q, and its...
For instance, the addition of heat raises the temperature of a solid; the amount of heat absorbed depends on the heat capacity of the solid (q = mcsolidΔT). According to thermochemistry, the relation between the amount of heat absorbed or released by a substance, q, and its...
22.9K
Energy Budgets
9.3K
Organisms must balance energy intake with the energy required for growth, maintenance and reproduction. These trade-offs result in a variety of survivorship and reproductive strategies, including semelparity and iteroparity. Semelparous species, like annual plants, have only one reproductive episode in their lifetimes and consequently have short lifespans. Iteroparous species, by contrast, have many reproductive events during their lifetimes but have relatively few offspring. These two...
9.3K


