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对COVID-19死亡率社会人口学风险的空间建模
Erich Seamon1, Benjamin J Ridenhour1,2, Craig R Miller1,3
1University of Idaho, Institute for Modeling, Collaboration, and Innovation, Moscow, 83843, USA.
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
|August 7, 2023
概括
社会脆弱性和肥胖预测了美国各地区的COVID-19死亡率. 地理加权回归模型揭示了局部风险因素,改善了对流行病死亡的时空变异的理解.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 地理空间分析是什么
背景情况:
- COVID-19在美国迅速传播,具有显著的地理差异.
- 很少有研究在精细的地理尺度上检查了COVID-19死亡的时空变化.
- 了解社会经济,健康,人口和政治因素与COVID-19死亡率之间的关联至关重要.
结论:
- GWRF模型为了解COVID-19死亡率的空间变化提供了一种更强大和更细微的方法.
- 局部化的社会人口风险因素显著影响COVID-19死亡率,需要地理特定的公共卫生战略.
- 这种精细的建模策略对于识别和解决流行病结果的空间差异是有价值的.
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