测试库兹内特曲线理论关于COVID-19前后环境污染的理论
Oluwaseun Samuel Oduniyi1, John M Riveros2, Sherif M Hassan3
1Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA. ooduniyi@ttu.edu.
Scientific reports
|August 8, 2023
概括
尽管最初的环境转变,但COVID-19大流行并没有显著改变发达经济体的长期一氧化碳排放. 该研究使用环境库兹涅茨曲线发现COVID-19病例和污染水平之间没有显著联系.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19大流行引发了全球封锁和经济放缓,促使对其环境后果进行调查.
- 发达经济体的高污染水平被分析到一氧化碳排放的变化.
研究的目的:
- 调查COVID-19总病例对每月平均一氧化碳排放的影响.
- 在2014-2023年使用环境库兹涅茨曲线方法分析发达经济体的环境动态.
主要方法:
- 利用了2014-2023年发达经济体的面板数据.
- 应用了环境库兹涅茨曲线框架.
- 采用固定效应和德里斯科尔-克兰回归来进行可靠的分析.
主要成果:
- 在后COVID时代观察到环境动态的显著转变.
- 改变了N形库兹涅茨曲线的统计学意义,表明经济活动与环境影响之间的关系不显著.
- 与COVID-19相关的变量在解释长期环境影响方面没有统计学意义.
结论:
- 在发达经济体中,COVID-19大流行对长期一氧化碳排放的影响在统计学上并不显著.
- 环境政策和经济活动之间的关系需要根据大流行引起的变化重新评估.
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