COVID-19制措施对失业的影响:使用差异框架的多国分析
Walter Morris1, Ana Correa1, Rolando Leiva1
1Institute for Global Health, University College, London, UK.
International journal of health policy and management
|August 14, 2023
概括
在COVID-19大流行期间,政府的制措施显著增加了全球的失业率. 这种经济影响在低收入国家和较少冠状病毒病例的国家更为严重,突出了有针对性的支持的需要.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 由于COVID-19的流行,全球需要采取前所未有的制措施.
- 药物干预最初是不可用的,导致各国实施封锁和限制.
研究的目的:
- 评估制措施的严格对46个国家的失业率的影响.
- 找出抑制政策和失业之间的关系调节的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用差异差异 (DID) 规范来分析2020年1月至6月的数据.
- 失业率变化被解释为使用制严格性,控制GDP增长,通货膨胀,出口,COVID-19病例和财政支出.
- 根据COVID-19病例五分位数和人均国内生产总值五分位数进行了子组分析.
主要成果:
- 控制严格度水平的中位数为43.7,与失业率上升1.87个百分点 (1.67个百分点控制后) 相相关.
- 制措施对失业的影响在COVID-19病例低于中位数,人均国民收入低于中位数的国家被放大.
结论:
- 制措施显然导致失业率上升,不成比例地影响弱势,低收入国家.
- 政策制定者必须考虑制战略的社会经济后果,并实施财政措施,以减轻对就业和弱势群体的不利影响.
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