在公共卫生危机中,气候和生育率
Letícia J Marteleto1, Alexandre Gori Maia2, Cristina Guimarães Rodrigues3
1University of Pennsylvania.
Population studies
|August 15, 2023
概括
气候变化影响生育能力,温度升高和降雨量增加与出生率下降有关. 这种影响在巴西期间加剧了.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 人口统计研究越来越多地探索气候对人类生育能力的影响.
- 了解气候与生育关系至关重要,尤其是在公共卫生危机期间.
- 巴西是一个不平等,城市,中等收入国家,为这项研究提供了一个独特的环境.
研究的目的:
- 为了检查气候条件对巴西生育能力的影响.
- 调查这些影响在寨卡疫情期间如何变化.
- 在健康危机期间评估城市环境在气候生育动态中的作用.
主要方法:
- 利用来自巴西5564个市镇的月度数据.
- 应用空间固定效应模型来控制未观察到的异质性和空间依赖性.
- 分析了气候变量 (温度,降水) 和出生数据.
主要成果:
- 温度和降水的增加与出生率的下降有关.
- 气候变化和生育率变化之间的关联在寨卡疫情期间得到了放大.
- 城市地区在疫情期间对气候条件的反应更为明显.
结论:
- 气候条件显著影响生育能力,在公共卫生危机期间显著影响.
- 气候,生育和流行病之间的相互作用需要进一步研究.
- 调查结果强调了在人口和健康规划中考虑环境因素的重要性.
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