在整个COVID-19大流行期间禁止执行的驱逐文件:一个中断的时间序列分析
Erika M Brown1,2, Rahim Moineddin3, Ayu Hapsari4
1California Policy Lab, Institute for Research on Labor & Employment, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
概括
安大略省的驱逐禁令在第一个禁令后显著减少了申请人数,但后来的禁令效果不那么好. 解决流离失所根本原因的政策对于未来的紧急情况至关重要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 住房政策 住房政策
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 在COVID-19大流行期间实施了驱逐禁令,以保护弱势群体.
- 这项研究考察了加拿大安大略省三项强制执行驱逐禁令的影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析驱逐禁令对驱逐申请率的影响.
- 评估2020年3月至2022年1月期间的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自安大略省房东和租户委员会的驱逐申请记录.
- 雇佣了细分回归分析来模拟每周的驱逐申请率.
- 在未支付租金 (L1) 和其他原因 (L2) 中进行区分.
主要成果:
- 第一个驱逐禁令导致L1和L2申请的显著减少 (分别为每10万套住房中的67.5和31.7).
- 驱逐申请并没有完全停止,随后的禁令显示效果下降.
- 在研究期间结束时,观察到L1申请的增加.
结论:
- 最初的驱逐禁令是有效的,但随后的禁令的影响较小.
- 没有驱逐禁令完全消除了驱逐文件.
- 对于未来的公共卫生危机,建议采取解决流离失所原因的上游政策.
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