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基于复杂网络的国际建筑项目的风险传递机制的研究
Yanjun Huangfu1,2, Jingrong Xu2,3, Yang Zhang1,2
1Business School, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
PloS one
|August 15, 2023
概括
国际建筑项目风险管理是复杂的. 本研究确定了关键风险及其传播,并提出了制风险传播的策略,以获得更好的项目成果.
科学领域:
- 建设管理建设管理.
- 风险分析 风险分析
- 网络理论 网络理论
背景情况:
- 国际建筑项目的风险管理面临重大挑战,原因是复杂的风险相互依赖.
- 了解风险传播对于有效的项目监督和缓解至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 识别和分析国际建筑项目固有的风险.
- 绘制这些风险之间的传播途径和关系的地图.
- 为减轻风险传播提出有针对性的策略.
主要方法:
- 文献审查和头脑风暴,以确定项目风险.
- 德尔菲方法用于确定已识别的风险之间的联系.
- 使用UCINET软件进行网络分析,以可视化和分析网络风险.
- 确定关键风险和传播模式.
主要成果:
- 为国际建筑项目建立了一个全面的风险网络.
- 确定了关键风险及其主要传播关系.
- 分析揭示了复杂项目中风险传递的固有规律.
结论:
- 有效的风险预防策略必须解决关键风险及其传播动态.
- 针对关键节点和途径的有针对性的干预措施可以制整体风险传播.
- 这项研究为全球建筑业的积极风险管理提供了一个框架.
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