美国的COVID-19婴儿
Martha J Bailey1,2, Janet Currie2,3, Hannes Schwandt2,4
1Department of Economics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90024.
概括
随着COVID-19的流行,美国的生育率大幅下降,这主要是由于外国出生的母亲的出生数量减少. 然而,美国出生的母亲经历了"婴儿",增加了出生率,特别是在年轻女性和大学毕业生中.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 多年来,美国的生育率一直在下降.
- "COVID-19"疫情引发了前所未有的全球健康和经济危机.
研究的目的:
- 分析COVID-19流行病对美国生育率的影响.
- 为了区分外国出生的和美国出生的母亲之间的生育反应.
主要方法:
- 用于所有美国出生 (2015-2021年) 和加利福尼亚出生 (2015-2023年2月) 的出生微数据.
- 检查了生育率和出生人数的趋势,按母亲的起源和人口统计数据进行细分.
主要成果:
- 2020年美国生育率下降60%的原因是外国出生的母亲,尽管他们的人口比例较小.
- 美国出生的母亲经历了"婴儿",2021年出生人数增加,扭转了以前的趋势.
- 这种"婴儿凸起"最显著的是第一次分娩,25岁以下的妇女和30-34岁的大学教育.
结论:
- COVID-19大流行对美国的生育率产生了分歧的影响,对外国出生和美国出生的人口产生了明显的影响.
- 流行病引起的经济状况可能加速了一些美国出生的妇女的计划生育.
- 观察到的生育率增加与标准预测模型相矛盾,突出显示了流行病时代独特的人口变化.
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