基于攻击-防御游戏模型的高风险地区项目的安全风险评估
1Academy of Information and Network Security, People's Public Security University of China, Beijing, 100038, China.
Scientific reports
|August 16, 2023
概括
本研究引入了一种新的安全风险评估模型,用于高风险项目,考虑攻击者和防御者的战略. 它有助于优化防御资源,以提高项目安全性.
科学领域:
- 项目管理 项目管理
- 风险评估 风险评估
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 评估高风险项目区域的安全风险至关重要.
- 传统的风险评估往往忽视了防御分析.
- 量化最佳的防守者策略仍然是一个挑战.
研究的目的:
- 为高风险环境中的项目开发一种新的安全风险评估模型.
- 为了整合一个攻击-防御对抗的角度.
- 量化确定最佳的防御策略和资源配置.
主要方法:
- 使用了目标损失概率模型.
- 采用贝叶斯游戏模型进行攻击-防御分析.
- 在高风险地区分析了一个特定的项目案例.
主要成果:
- 确定了项目的风险水平.
- 计算了最佳的防御资源价值.
- 确定了该项目的最佳防御策略.
结论:
- 开发的模型提供了一个客观和可行的安全风险评估方法.
- 使项目风险管理人员能够优化防御性资源配置.
- 建立了一个新的安全风险评估的基准在高风险的项目与实际影响.
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