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多数规则:我们在聚合一致的意见方面有多好?
1Institut Jean Nicod, PSL University, CNRS, Paris France.
Evolutionary human sciences
|August 17, 2023
概括
遵循多数意见是强大的,特别是当大多数人很大,有能力,和你的信仰. 然而,人们往往高估了自己的意见,在考虑多数的数量和独立性时,结果各不相同.
科学领域:
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 多数规则是一种常见的决策启发式.
- 了解个人何时遵循多数意见对于社会动态至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 审查对影响坚持多数意见的因素的实验证据.
- 确定多数影响力强或弱的条件.
主要方法:
- 关于多数影响的实验文献的审查.
- 分析包括多数人数,能力,善意,信仰一致性和意见独立性在内的因素.
主要成果:
- 坚持多数意见受到多数人数,能力,仁慈,信仰一致性和独立性的影响.
- 信念对齐始终被遵循,尽管个人可能会过分重视自己的观点.
- 证据表明,多数人数和独立性的影响是混合的.
- 能力和善意似乎得到了充分的考虑.
结论:
- 一个进化框架可以通过区分进化有效和非进化有效的线索来解释混合发现.
- 进化上有效的线索很容易被纳入,而非进化上有效的线索可以被默认忽略.
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