共同的文化祖先预测了民主的全球传播
Thanos Kyritsis1, Luke J Matthews2,3, David Welch4,5
1School of Psychology, University of Auckland, New Zealand.
Evolutionary human sciences
|August 17, 2023
概括
具有共同语言和宗教祖先的国家表现出更相似的民主结果,特别是在过去50年. 这种深厚的文化联系影响了民主轨迹以及民主规范和制度在全球的传播.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 历史分析 历史分析
背景情况:
- 民主结果的全球变化是促进民主的关键问题.
- 了解影响民主轨迹的因素对于政策和研究至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查共同祖先对跨国民主结果的影响.
- 确定语言和宗教关系是否会影响一个国家的民主轨迹.
主要方法:
- 对221个国家200年来民主状态数据的分析.
- 使用了三个民主指标:Polity 5,Vanhanen的民主指数和世界自由.
- 检查了共同祖先和民主相似性之间的相关性,控制地理接近.
主要成果:
- 具有共同语言和最近的宗教祖先的国家表现出更相似的民主结果,特别是在过去的50年里.
- 一个国家的民主轨迹可以通过其语言和宗教亲属的数十年前的地位来预测.
- 这些发现适用于多个民主指标,并不能通过当前的共同语言或宗教来解释.
结论:
- 深厚的文化祖先显著塑造了现代国家的民主命运.
- 民主规范和制度更有可能在文化相关的国家之间扩散.
- 共同的祖先仍然是全球民主发展中的强大,尽管间接的力量.
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