在印度Murredu流域使用SWAT和八个人工智能模型进行降雨-流水建模,印度
Padala Raja Shekar1, Aneesh Mathew2, Arun P S3
1Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Tiruchirappalli, Tamil Nadu, 620015, India.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|August 17, 2023
概括
精确的流量估计对于水资源管理至关重要. 长期短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型在模拟Murredu河流域的降雨-排水过程方面显著超过了其他人工智能 (AI) 和土壤和水评估工具 (SWAT) 模型.
科学领域:
- 水文与水资源工程 水文与水资源工程
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 环境建模中的人工智能
背景情况:
- 全球日益增长的水需求需要精确的流量估计,以有效地管理流域.
- 降雨流失模型是理解和预测水文过程的关键工具.
- 穆雷杜河流域面临水资源管理方面的挑战,原因是需求不断增长.
研究的目的:
- 用各种水文模型准确估计Murredu河流域的月度流量.
- 将土壤和水评估工具 (SWAT) 模型与多个人工智能 (AI) 模型的性能进行比较.
- 确定最有效的降雨-流水模拟模型,以支持可持续的水资源规划.
主要方法:
- 使用土壤和水评估工具 (SWAT) 模型进行水文模拟.
- 使用了八种人工智能 (AI) 模型:k-最近邻居,支持向量回归,线性回归,人工神经网络,随机森林,XGBoost,基于直方图的梯度提升和长短期记忆 (LSTM).
- 根据Murredu河流域 (1999-2005) 的月度流量数据进行校准和验证的模型.
主要成果:
- 所有九种模型都显示出适合模拟降雨-排水过程.
- 长短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型表现出卓越的性能,实现了高的确定系数 (R2 = 0.97) 和纳什-萨特克利夫效率 (NSE = 0.96在校准中;R2 = 0.97,NSE = 0.92在验证中).
- 其他AI和SWAT模型提供了令人满意的结果,但不如LSTM准确.
结论:
- 长短期记忆 (LSTM) 模型对于在Murredu河流域准确的每月流量建模非常有效.
- 选择像LSTM这样的先进AI模型可以显著提高降雨-流水模拟的精度.
- 研究结果支持使用最佳模型来改善水资源管理和河流流域的可持续规划.
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