土耳其的物流和金融指标对土耳其的碳排放有何影响?
Tuğrul Bayat1, Kenan İlarslan2, Muhammad Shahbaz3,4
1Logistics Management Department, Afyon Kocatepe University, Afyonkarahisar, Türkiye. tbayat@aku.edu.tr.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|August 19, 2023
概括
土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其 土耳其
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 运输研究 运输研究
背景情况:
- 能源消费,工业化和人口增长导致的碳排放 (CO2) 增加推动了气候变化.
- 由于商业扩张,土耳其的物流部门面临着日益增加的能源使用和温室气体 (GHG) 排放.
- 土耳其缺乏评估货运温室气体排放的标准化措施.
研究的目的:
- 分析土耳其货物运输在过去三十年中的温室气体排放趋势.
- 确定金融发展,人均GDP,能源消耗和货运量 (铁路和公路) 对二氧化碳排放的影响.
- 评估环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 在土耳其交通部门的有效性.
主要方法:
- 利用了土耳其1990-2021年的时间序列数据.
- 采用自行回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 绑定测试协同集成方法.
- 研究了关键经济和运输变量对二氧化碳排放的影响.
主要成果:
- 能源消耗,金融发展和人均收入与土耳其的二氧化碳排放正相关.
- 环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设在土耳其得到支持.
- 铁路和公路货运都对二氧化碳排放产生负面影响,公路货运是一个显著的例外.
结论:
- 虽然经济增长增加了排放,但土耳其交通基础设施和物流效率的进步减轻了货物运输的二氧化碳排放.
- 针对土耳其运输部门的政策建议应考虑这些细微的关系,以制定有效的减排战略.
- 该研究强调,需要制定针对物流部门二氧化碳排放的具体驱动因素的定制政策.
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