使用代随机森林来找到自杀企图的地理空间环境和社会人口统计学预测因素
Mirko Pavicic1, Angelica M Walker2, Kyle A Sullivan1
1Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational and Predictive Biology, Oak Ridge, TN, United States.
Frontiers in psychiatry
|August 21, 2023
概括
社会和环境因素显著影响退伍军人自杀企图. 单身生活和租房与更高的风险有关,而结婚与较低的风险有关. 获得枪支和酒精的机会也会增加风险.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 人工智能的人工智能
背景情况:
- 美国的自杀率正在上升,需要识别风险因素.
- 了解这些因素对于制定有效的预防策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在人工智能 (AI) 框架内使用地理空间特征识别自杀企图的潜在风险因素.
- 分析环境,人口和访问相关因素对自杀企图的贡献.
主要方法:
- 利用代的随机森林,一种可解释的AI方法,进行预测.
- 分析了来自百万退伍军人计划的数据 (405,540名患者,14,131次尝试).
- 集成的邮政代码级气候,人口,枪支和酒精供应商数据 (1,784个功能).
主要成果:
- 与配偶生活在一起的已婚男性度较高的地理区域显示自杀企图率较低.
- 男人独自生活和租房的地区预测了更高的自杀企图率.
- 气候特征因年龄组而异;枪支和酒精销售商与风险增加存在小关联.
结论:
- 社会决定因素和环境因素对于了解退伍军人自杀风险至关重要.
- 地理空间分析与人工智能相结合,为识别自杀风险因素提供了一种新的方法.
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